Odaily星球日报讯 据 BitMEX 分析，今日比特币创下历史新高，触及 12.4 万美元后小幅回吐；以太坊突破 4700 美元关口，距历史高位仅一步之遥。
虽然长期来看，降息预期和机构增持对比特币带来强劲支撑，但短期内存在回调压力。首先，据 Blockchain.com 的统计，比特币算力自 8 月 7 日以来迅速下滑，由最高 965 EH/s 下降至 8 月 13 日的 892 EH/s。由于比特币算力与比特币价格通常为正相关，当前走势暗示短期价格可能面临回撤风险。
其次，从技术层面分析（如下图），比特币的价格走势与 MACD 形成潜在的熊背离走势，当前价格有可能与 7 月份高点形成双顶形态，从而引发回调。近期的潜在支持位置在 8 月 2 日低点，该位置亦为 5 月份高点，约 11.2 万美元。蓝色的上行趋势线为关键支撑，若跌破则有望进一步走跌。
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