研报掘金丨诚通证券:贵州茅台高端地位稳固,维持“强烈推荐”评级

格隆汇
Aug 14

诚通证券研报指出,贵州茅台上半年实现营收910.94亿元/+9.16%;归母净利润454.03亿元/+8.89%,为完成全年工作任务奠定基础。高端地位稳固,中端白酒竞争激烈。二季度营收表现较弱,销售费用持续加码。白酒市场已由增量发展转向存量竞争,尤其酱酒市场收入增速放缓是大趋势,行业竞争加剧,创新品扩新客难度加大,公司加大营销和内部管控,销售费用增长,管理费用收窄。 行业承压中国酒业协会联合各名酒企业及酒类大商,共同发布《中国酒业防内卷式竞争倡议书》,白酒龙头企业主动控量保价,维护行业健康运行。茅台在2024年年底举行的经销商联谊会上,对2025年的市场攻坚提出明确方向。核心是坚持以消费者为中心,持续做好“三个转型”,即客群转型、场景转型和服务转型。 其中,客群聚焦于新商务人群;场景面向符合不同行业特点的宴饮新场景,同时鼓励经销商创新餐饮消费场景;服务则从满足消费者的多元化需求出发,倡导“从卖酒向卖生活方式转变”,进一步优化消费体验。公司上半年营销费用持续加码,努力扩展消费场景,吸引新消费客群,满足多元化需求。当前股价对应PE分别为19/18/17倍,公司当前PE20倍,维持公司“强烈推荐”评级。

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