美联储由鹰向鸽转变的信号逐渐增强。 2024年9至12月,美联储连续三次降息,累计降幅100个基点。然而,今年初以来,美联储降息进程被摁下了暂停键,联邦基金利率长时间徘徊于4.25%-4.5%区间,折射出当前美联储在降息问题上正面临“两难”:预防经济衰退优先,还是防止通胀反弹优先。近期,随着内外环境出现一系列重大变化,美联储由鹰向鸽转变的信号逐渐增强。市场普遍预测,美联储最早9月就有可能重新...
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