Odaily星球日报讯 日本第二季度 GDP 数据将于周五公布。星展银行（DBS）经济团队预计，日本第二季度 GDP 环比增速可能徘徊在 0%左右。他们预测，经季度季节性调整后的年化增长率将温和上升 0.2%，刚好足以抵消第一季度的收缩。第二季度出口势头减弱，受到对美出口下降和海外需求疲软的影响。在国内方面，私人消费依然低迷，因为工资增长落后于通胀。持续疲弱的 GDP 表明日本央行短期内不太可能加息。尽管与美国达成的贸易协议有助于缓解关税不确定性，但日本央行可能希望看到更强劲的工资复苏和稳定的通胀，才会恢复政策正常化。因此，星展银行维持日本央行第四季度加息 25 个基点的预测不变。(金十)
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