大行评级|高盛:下调康师傅目标价至13.8港元 下调2025至27年经常性净利润预测

格隆汇
Aug 13

高盛发表研究报告指,康师傅管理层更新全年指引,预计全年销售持平至增长低单位,而原先指引为低至中单位数增长;预计经常性净利润维持双位数增长,而今年上半年升幅为12%。业务而言,管理层预期即食面业务下半年恢复正增长,目标全年亦实现正增长;预期有气饮品将有正增长,而非有气饮品跌幅收窄。成本方面,管理层料棕榈油全年价格有低十位数升幅,但同时塑胶(PET)、糖及面粉成本有中单位跌幅。下半年集团将持续聚焦轻投资及精简行政费用,以提升2026年的经营利润率。 该行预计康师傅2025及26年净利润分别为43亿及46亿元,按年增15%及9%,净利润率改善至5.2%及15.8%;考虑到竞争加剧导致销售管理费用率上升,将2025至27年经常性净利润预测下调4至6%;目标价由14.6港元下调至13.8港元,维持“买入”评级。

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