研报掘金|华泰证券:上调腾讯目标价至742.19港元 射击游戏前景可期

格隆汇
Aug 15, 2025

华泰证券发表研究报告指,腾讯控股第二季营收按年增长14.5%。分业务看,增值服务、广告、金科收入分别按年增长16%、20%、10%,对应毛利率按年改善3.4、1.9、4.5百分点。从长线看,腾讯作为射击游戏的龙头开发商,有望实现玩家和商业化双轮驱动(国内渗透率快速提升),《三角洲行动》7月成为龙头游戏,《无畏契约》手游8月19日待上线,未来储备包括多款重要射击和大世界游戏。 展望2025至2027年,该行分别上调腾讯收入预测2.7%、4.7%、4.8%,主因微信小店持续放量有望驱动广告与金融科技协同增长,且AI产品催化下公司业务持续受益。该行又根据SOTP估值,将其目标价从614.34港元上调至742.19港元,对应腾讯2025年24.3倍PE估值(前值19.9倍),维持“买入”评级。

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