金吾财讯 | 华鑫证券研报指出,五矿资源(01208)2025年上半年实现营业收入28.17亿美元,同比+47%;EBITDA为15.40亿美元,同比+98%;EBIT为10.59亿美元,同比+240%,归母净利润为3.4亿美元,同比+1511%。杠杆率为33%,2024年年底为41%。公司财务表现优异并且资产负债表显著优化。该机构指,主力矿山Las Bambas矿山优质矿坑生产输出强劲,营收显著增长,充分释放归母净利润弹性:2025年H1LasBambas收入为20.07亿美元,同比+60%,主要原因是铜销量及其价格上升;EBITDA为13.11亿美元,同比+122%;EBIT为9.13亿美元,同比+286%;归母净利润为358.2亿美元,同比+366%;资本开支为1.7亿美元。该机构续指,Kinsevere矿山、Khoemacau矿山扩产成效逐步显现。2025年H1Kinsevere收入为2.35亿美元,同比+25%,主要原因是铜销量及其价格上升;EBITDA为0.3亿美元,同比-27%;EBIT为0.15亿美元,同比+145%;资本开支为0.82亿美元。2025年H1 Khoemacau收入为2.0亿美元,同比+122%,主要原因是相较去年今年有完整期限的该矿山所有权;EBITDA为0.90亿美元,同比+167%;EBIT为0.71亿美元,同比+206%;归母净利润为670万美元,去年同期为-60万美元,资本开支为1.35亿美元。该机构表示,预测公司2025-2027年营业收入分别为58.38、60.88、60.88亿美元,归母净利润分别为6.85、7.45、7.68亿美元,当前股价对应PE分别为9.6、8.8、8.5倍。考虑到公司各项经营指标向好,且铜价中枢上移。维持“买入”投资评级。
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