分析师:比特币或将维持区间震荡,市场关注本周五鲍威尔讲话

Blockbeats
Aug 19, 2025

BlockBeats 消息,8 月 19 日,CryptoQuant 分析师 Axel Adler Jr 发文表示,“期货市场的情绪指数已降至中性区以下 36%。在 8 月 11 日至 14 日期间,该指标曾因比特币价格飙升至 12.3 万美元短暂升至 70%。目前,比特币价格维持在 11.5 万美元,而情绪指数动能正在下降:在指数构成中,短期内卖方占主导(净成交者和成交量差为负),未平仓合约保持中性。这意味着市场已从高点的狂热情绪过渡到区间震荡阶段。

这种状态意味着,当指数仍低于 45-50% 时,反弹可能会引发抛售,价格倾向于在狭窄区间波动。在反弹乏力时指数持续低迷,会增加测试 11.2 万美元。本周的关键是鲍威尔将于周五在杰克逊霍尔峰会发表的讲话(经济前景及框架回顾),其内容可能决定未来市场情绪的方向。”

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