研报掘金丨中金:降领展分派预测1% 目标价维持47港元

格隆汇
Aug 19

中金发表报告指出,香港零售物业资产经营恢复或慢于预期,下调领展房产基金(0823.HK)2026至2027财政年度每基金单位分派(DPU)预测均为1%,分别至2.69港元及2.7港元,维持“跑赢行业”评级及目标价47港元不变,目标价隐含2026财年5.7厘预期股息率。 中金指出,领展于香港及内地的物业经营压力仍存在,2026财年首季度香港零售物业续租租金提价率录负中个位数增长,平均租金单价较2025财年底跌0.8%,至每方尺62.8港元;出租率降0.2个百分点至97.6%。商户销售额同比跌幅由3%收窄至0.8%,但跑输整体升0.4%。内地零售物业续租租金提价率仍然承压,特别位于北京的资产;内地办公及仓储物业租金面亦持续受压。 另外,领展再融资受惠利率环境改善,融资成本为3.6%,与2025财年末持平而尚未降低,当前定期债务比例较高达67%。海外业务经营态势仍较为强劲,首季度在新加坡、澳洲零售物业出租率均接近满租,其在澳洲办公物业出租率则持平。

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