美联储降息预期与日银加息前景分化,美元兑日元维持148关口震荡区间

英为财情
Aug 19, 2025

周二亚洲时段,美元兑日元维持震荡整理格局。汇价在148.00一线反复,反映市场对基本面的分歧态度。日本央行与美联储政策前景的分化是支撑日元的重要因素。日本央行在7月会议中上调通胀预期,并重申若经济与通胀持续改善,将考虑进一步加息。加之二季度日本经济增速超预期,市场认为年底前加息可能性依然存在。相反,美联储在9月降息的概率仍高达85%,市场预期2025年内将有两次25个基点的降息,这与日银的相对鹰派...

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