研报掘金丨民生证券:维持铜陵有色“推荐”评级,期待米拉多铜矿二期投产

格隆汇
Aug 20, 2025

民生证券研报指出,铜陵有色实际经营稳健,期待米拉多铜矿二期投产。冶炼端,铜加工费大幅致冶炼利润下降明显,但冲击有限,下降幅度远小于加工费下降幅度,或主要是副产品贡献较多。从冶炼子公司利润来看,25H1金隆铜业实现净利润3.23亿元,同比下滑30%;赤峰金铜实现净利润1.90亿元,同比下滑36%。公司冶炼端利润韧性明显或主要是由于冶炼副产品,公司上半年化工及其他产品毛利率55.04%,同比增长39.05PCT。围绕铜产业链上下游补链、强链。上游:米拉多铜矿注入完成,2024年自产铜产量达到15.5万吨,且二期项目将于2025年投产,届时自给率还将进一步提升。中游:铜基新材料项目有序推进,冶炼产能预计提升,得益于交通和区位优势,冶炼成本位于成本曲线左侧,成本优势明显。下游:铜箔年产能8万吨。铜产业链一体化发展持续推进,产能建设稳步进行,米拉多铜矿二期投产在即,未来增量可期。维持“推荐”评级。

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