ChainCatcher 消息,据金十报道,华泰证券研报指出,预计三季度关税将温和推高美国核心通胀,市场对通胀上升幅度及持续时间存在分歧。联储大概率将在9月重启降息周期,虽然通胀将在三季度回升,但预计对联储2025年降息的制约有限。短期内通胀回升对美债收益率影响有限,但“大而美”法案实施后美债收益率仍有压力,华泰证券维持中长期美元面临贬值压力的观点。
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