Odaily星球日报讯 美联储主席鲍威尔将于北京时间本周五晚在怀俄明州这一年度聚会上发表关键讲话。与此同时，最新公布的高于预期的通胀数据已促使部分交易员下调降息预期，同时仍坚持下月降息的判断。
BMO 资本市场美国利率策略主管伊恩·林根（Ian Lyngen）在研报中表示，“随着市场为鲍威尔在杰克逊霍尔的讲话做准备，美债面临的最大风险是：美联储主席可能给市场普遍预期的 9 月降息泼冷水”。
当前约 32.5 万份期权头寸（成本约 1000 万美元）若押中美联储在 9 月政策会议上降息 50 个基点，有望获利高达 1 亿美元。此外，目前市场定价显示，9 月 16-17 日会议降息 25 基点的概率约为 80%。（金十）
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