BlockBeats 消息，8 月 22 日，外汇期权显示，美元看涨情绪升至三周最高，表明交易员押注美联储主席鲍威尔不会就降息采取过度鸽派立场。
交易员近日一直在下调降息押注：目前市场预计美联储年底前将累计降息 47 个基点，而仅一周多前，这一预期还为 63 个基点。
“9 月降息 25 个基点——这扇门会打开，”德国中央合作银行（DZ Bank AG）外汇与货币政策研究主管索尼娅·马滕（Sonja Marten）在接受彭博电视台采访时表示，“但我认为他不会采取比这更激进的立场。”（金十）
另据 CME“美联储观察”，当前美联储 9 月维持利率不变的概率为 24.5%，降息 25 个基点的概率为 75.5%。美联储 10 月维持利率不变的概率为 13%，累计降息 25 个基点的概率为 51.5%，累计降息 50 个基点的概率为 35.5%。
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