【券商聚焦】国信证券维持德康农牧(02419)“优于大市”评级 指生猪养殖成本稳步改善

金吾财讯
Aug 22

金吾财讯 | 国信证券发研报指,德康农牧(02419)2025H1生物资产公允价值调整前净利润同比明显增长,生猪养殖成本稳步改善。2025H1营收同比+24.3%至116.95亿元,生物资产公允价值调整前净利润同比+250.6%至12.73亿元。2025H1公司毛利率同比+5.0pct至17.4%;主要来自生猪养殖板块贡献,受益于新式家庭农场扩大、管理效率及生产指标改善、饲料价格下降,2025H1成本明显下降。分业务看,生猪养殖2025H1收入98.79亿元,同比+32.6%;生猪销量511.74万头,同比+27.1%;商品猪售价2032.7元/头,同比+3.5%。家禽业务2025H1收入13.36亿元,同比-13.5%,销量4270.33万羽,同比+7.2%,平均售价为12.88元/kg,同比-20.9%,受餐饮行业消费低迷影响,公司饲养的高端黄鸡品种价格整体承压。

该机构表示,公司致力于培养懂技术、会经营的新型职业农民,创新践行“公司+母猪饲养及育肥场”的二号家庭农场养殖模式,将种猪直接交由农户饲养,实现更轻资产、农户合作更稳定、且更有利于疾病防控等优势,奠定了坚实的养殖发展基础。公司二号农场经营指标保持增长,2025H1公司新式农场户均代养费达0.8百万元,同比+15.5%,PSY提升至27头,养殖效率行业领先。经测算,2025H1公司生猪养殖完全成本约12.4元/kg,整体成本保持行业第一梯队。该机构表示,维持公司盈利预测,维持“优于大市”评级。该机构预计公司2025-2027年生物资产公允价值调整前归母净利为34.51/30.09/28.65亿元,EPS为8.87/7.74/7.37元。

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