大行评级|大摩:下调老铺黄金目标价至925港元 盈利增长能见度较低

格隆汇
Aug 22

摩根士丹利发表研报指,老铺黄金品牌力量及执行力强劲,下半年增长展望稳固,但基于公司在内地扩张放缓,市场应开始把焦点转至公司资本管理及明年增长展望。老铺黄金海外扩张潜力明显,但执行将为关键,公司以中国文化传承著名,将需更多消费者教育,过度本土化或影响品牌形象。 该行亦指,公司股价自7月初高位跌31%,考虑到股价波动性及短期获利风险,估值仍未足够吸引。该股自去年6月上市以来已升19倍,今年亦累升2.11倍。该行认为,市场或集中于中期增长能见度在宏观趋势及公司策略上比较不清晰。 该行上调对公司今年至2027年每股盈利预测0%至2%,目标价则由1055港元下调至925港元,相当于明年预测市盈率22倍,反映每股盈利增长由今年预测的逾2.45倍降至明年的30%,以及较低的每股盈利增长能见度,维持“与大市同步”评级。

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