研报掘金|中金:兖煤澳大利亚上半年业绩低于预期 目标价下调至29港元

格隆汇
Aug 22, 2025

中金发表研报指,兖煤澳大利亚上半年业绩低于该行预期,经营性EBITDA为5.95亿澳元,按年跌40%;净利润1.63亿澳元,按年跌61%,每股盈利0.124澳元,低于该行预期,该行认为主要是成本和费用端高于预期。 报告指,量价齐增助力公司盈利改善修复。量方面,该行预计随着天气等扰动因素缓解,公司下半年销量有望实现双位数环比增长。价格方面,6月以来煤价呈回升态势,截至8月15日澳洲5500大卡/纽卡斯尔6000大卡动力煤价格分别为71/111美元,较次季均价的68/99美元回升。在供给边际收缩、供暖期补库需求提振的作用下,预期下半年煤价整体回升。该行维持对其“跑赢行业”评级,目标价下调6%至29港元。

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