国泰海通证券研报称,中债“熊陡”,美债“牛平”。中债:收益率曲线整体上移,10Y-2Y 期限利差扩大,呈“熊陡”特征。AAA 级信用债收益率普遍上行,长端信用利差边际扩大。美债:收益率曲线整体下移,10Y-1Y 期限利差收窄,呈“牛平”特征。鲍威尔在 8 月 22 日杰克逊霍尔经济会议上指出,经济风险平衡正在变化,借贷成本拖累经济,劳动力市场趋弱,通胀风险可控。这释放出 9 月大概率降息的信号。
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