在对27位经济学家的调查中，20位预计韩国央行周四政策会议将维持基准利率不变，其余7位预测会降息。高盛经济学家权九勋（Goohoon Kwon）团队指出，按兵不动的鸽派立场可使韩央行获得政策观察窗口，用于追踪家庭债务走势、评估持续财政刺激效果及研判美联储政策动向。

　　报告称，高盛维持“韩央行将于10月实施降息”的基本预测。多数经济学家预计，鉴于二季度经济增长数据超预期强劲，韩央行或将小幅上调2025年GDP增速与通胀预测值。

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责任编辑：王许宁

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