野村资产管理首席投资官:美联储主席鲍威尔讲话引发的美债市场反应 “似显过度”

环球市场播报
Aug 25, 2025

  野村资产管理公司(Nomura Capital Management)首席投资官马修・帕莱(Matthew Pallai)表示,美国国债市场对美联储主席杰罗姆・鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)讲话的反应 “感觉像是过度反应”。

  他指出:“目前仍存在相当高的不确定性,而且正如鲍威尔所提到的,利率路径并非必然遵循预设轨迹。”

  帕莱称,风险市场的定价已反映出对一轮大幅宽松周期的预期,而这与当前的不确定性水平并不相符。他认为鲍威尔的语气 “总体保持平衡”,不过鲍威尔显然并未排除 9 月降息的可能性。

  野村资产管理公司仍预计,美联储今年将降息 1 至 2 次,具体取决于经济数据表现。

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