Despite an already strong run, hipages Group Holdings Limited (ASX:HPG) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 32% in the last thirty days. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 9.8% in the last twelve months.
Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies in Australia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 19x, you may consider hipages Group Holdings as a stock to avoid entirely with its 72.4x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
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While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, hipages Group Holdings' earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for hipages Group Holdings
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as hipages Group Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 33%. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in EPS being achieved in total. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 157% during the coming year according to the four analysts following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 21%, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that hipages Group Holdings' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
Shares in hipages Group Holdings have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that hipages Group Holdings maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for hipages Group Holdings that we have uncovered.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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