基础化工行业2025年中期策略:周期在左 成长在右

天风证券股份有...
Aug 29

本轮周期核心关注点在于十四五期间化工产能释放后的再平衡。化工行业新增产能已经进入释放阶段(2022Q4在建工程同比增速达到自2012Q3以来的最高点,化工行业进入新一轮资本开支密集期。增速在23Q1见顶开始回落,随后在建工程同比增速震荡下行,由22Q4峰值的48%回落至24Q4的9.6%,25Q1则自18年以来首次落入负数区间(全体上市公司)。),且此轮龙头公司新增产能投放占比大幅提高,供给的...

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