金吾财讯 | 国泰海通证券发布研究报告称,上半年美国关税实际征收力度不及预期,企业提价的速度也偏慢,使得通胀回升幅度相对温和。下半年美国实际进口平均税率将进一步抬升,企业提价速度或将有所加快,在需求稳定的情况下,美国通胀或继续“慢热”起来。短期来看,“慢热”的通胀为美联储提供了9月降息空间,但9月后是否能连续降息仍具有较高不确定性。
金吾财讯 | 国泰海通证券发布研究报告称,上半年美国关税实际征收力度不及预期,企业提价的速度也偏慢,使得通胀回升幅度相对温和。下半年美国实际进口平均税率将进一步抬升,企业提价速度或将有所加快,在需求稳定的情况下,美国通胀或继续“慢热”起来。短期来看,“慢热”的通胀为美联储提供了9月降息空间,但9月后是否能连续降息仍具有较高不确定性。
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