【券商聚焦】交银国际维持中创新航(03931)买入评级 料明年迎来新一轮交付能力的集中释放

金吾财讯
Aug 29

金吾财讯 | 交银国际研报指,中创新航(03931)上半年储能业务增速强劲,盈利水平稳步提升。收入同比+31.7%至164.2 亿元(人民币,下同),其中储能电池收入同比大幅+109.7%至57.6亿元。规模效应下期内毛利率达17.5%,同/环比+1.9ppts/1.4ppts。期内净利润同比+80.4%至7.5亿元,净利率4.6%。该机构提到,储能业务方面,据InfoLink数据,1H25年全球储能市场电芯累计出货240.2 GWh,同比+106.1%,并预计全年出货460.0GWh,随着海外电站业务布局实现突破,公司全年储能电芯出货有望维持强劲增速。该机构维持对公司全年出货量预测,但调整电池价格预期,同步下调2025-27年收入预测8%-10%至377.0/453.3/515.2亿元。规模效应下盈利能力稳步提升,因此上调毛利率预测1ppts,同步调整净利润预测至17.9/26.5/36.9亿元。2025年来,中创新航在常州、厦门、成都等地新建项目相继开工;海外葡萄牙工厂已动工,规划年产15GWh储能电池,该机构预计公司将于2026年迎来新一轮交付能力的集中释放。海外储能和商用车业务突破后有望带动公司电池出货量增长,同时盈利能力稳步提升,维持买入评级。

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