Golden Solar New Energy Technology Holdings Limited (HKG:1121) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 31% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 33% over that time.
Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Golden Solar New Energy Technology Holdings is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 12.3x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Luxury industry have P/S ratios below 0.7x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
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View our latest analysis for Golden Solar New Energy Technology Holdings
For instance, Golden Solar New Energy Technology Holdings' receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Golden Solar New Energy Technology Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Golden Solar New Energy Technology Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 14% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 19% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 17% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's alarming that Golden Solar New Energy Technology Holdings' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
Golden Solar New Energy Technology Holdings' P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Golden Solar New Energy Technology Holdings currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Golden Solar New Energy Technology Holdings that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Golden Solar New Energy Technology Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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