高盛:中国股市流动性驱动行情有支撑,上调沪深300目标价至4900点

格隆汇
Aug 29

高盛以中国股市流动性驱动的行情仍有支撑为由,上调沪深300指数目标价位。高盛表示,“流动性”在全球各地提振了股票回报,尽管近期存在获利回吐的压力,但相信上涨趋势仍有支撑,维持对中国离岸股票和A股的超配评级。 高盛分析师Kinger Lau等在报告中指称,预计未来12个月MSCI中国指数的回报有10%,维持目标价位为90点。同时,预计沪深300指数回报有12%,目标价位为4900点,较此前的4500上调。 中国公募基金在过去几周刚开始增加股票部位,保险公司对股票的配置仍低于30%的上限,全球对冲基金等仍低配中国股票,这些均表明未来仓位和配置仍有较大上升空间。中国股市较已开发市场仍存在显著估值折价,与新兴市场大致持平,表明投资者并未为中国的流动性溢价支付过高成本。目前市场的主要风险包括流动性突然收紧、监管冲击,以及宏观政策令人失望,这些风险历史上曾破坏由资金流动驱动的股市繁荣。

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