摩根大通:MSCI新兴市场指数正迈向乐观情境目标1350点,建议超配印度、韩国等

金融界
Sep 04
摩根大通发表新兴市场策略报告指,MSCI新兴市场指数已经突破该行原先设定基准情境目标的1250点,正迈向乐观情境目标1350点,该行认为即将展开的美联储宽松循环将进一步推动此进程。该行在6月设定目标时,当时仅料美联储在今年12月减息一次(25个基点),但该行现在预测到年底将累计降息共75个基点(从9月17日启动),并在2026年再降息25个基点,预期的降息将加速美元走弱、新兴市场货币走强。这一转变让新兴市场央行有空间启动、延续或恢复各自的降息周期。该行建议在新兴市场中超配印度、韩国、巴西、菲律宾及南非。

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