天风固收谭逸鸣:黄金3600,怎么看?

天风研究
Sep 04

我们认为黄金行情尚未结束,年内还有上行空间。前文的推升金价的四大因素,今年年内大概率延续演绎:首先,美联储独立性能否维持,四季度将是关键时点。第二,降息预期或继续演绎。第三,关税的不确定性难以解除,如果IEEPA关税因合法性而受阻,我们预计白宫可能转向扩大行业关税的范围。第四,“去美元化”长期趋势延续,各国官方机构增持,将是黄金需求的底层支撑。我们预计在今年的宏观背景下,私人部门对黄金的需求也将...

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