研报掘金丨东吴证券:维持亿纬锂能“买入”评级,目标价92元

格隆汇
Sep 04

东吴证券研报指出,亿纬锂能经营拐点已至,后续量利双升,利润弹性可期。公司25年Q2出货27.3GWh,同环比+30%/+21%,6月产能利用率达90%,我们预计25年出货130GWh,同增60%+,26年出货有望达200GWh,同增50%+,27年仍维持高速增长。盈利方面,电池价格已触底,储能持续满产满销,随着小鹏、零跑等爆款车型放量,产能利用率持续提升,此外合资材料工厂即将盈利,我们预计Q3经营大幅改善,26年随着大圆柱+大铁锂新品开启放量,海外市场大规模放量,单wh盈利有望进一步提升,动储业务预计贡献70亿利润,26-27年利润弹性可期。公司打造差异化产品,大圆柱+大铁锂订单饱满,26年布局收获期。考虑到下游需求超预期,维持25年归母净利润47亿元,同增16%,考虑到公司出货高速增长,给予26年25x估值,对应目标价92元,维持“买入”评级。

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