Dollar Tree Posts Better-Than-Expected Earnings. Why the Stock Is Falling. -- Barrons.com

Dow Jones
Sep 03

By Mackenzie Tatananni

Dollar Tree posted an earnings beat and strong results for the fiscal second quarter, but the stock was falling following an underwhelming third-quarter forecast.

Adjusted earnings in the second quarter of 77 cents a share topped the consensus estimate of 42 cents. Total revenue of $4.57 billion handily beat the $4.48 billion Wall Street was expecting.

Net sales grew 6.5% in the quarter, driven by a 3% improvement in traffic improved and 3.4% increase in average ticket size, or average customer spend per transaction.

Dollar Tree hiked its fiscal-year net sales guidance to a range of $19.3 billion to $19.5 billion, up from $18.5 billion to $19.1 billion. The new range is based on comparable-store net sales growth of 4% to 6%, versus earlier calls for 3% to 5%, management said.

The company now expects adjusted earnings of between $5.32 and $5.72 a share, up from $5.15 to $5.65, to reflect the company's current operating outlook as well as year-to-date share repurchases. Dollar Tree noted that it has completed more than $1 billion of stock buybacks this year.

Despite the second-quarter earnings beat, the stock fell 2.1% in premarket trading. Peer Dollar General was down 0.4%, while futures tracking the benchmark S&P 500 index rose 0.5%.

Dollar Tree's third-quarter forecast appeared to dampen investor enthusiasm for an otherwise solid second quarter. The retailer noted that it anticipated third-quarter adjusted earnings similar to year-ago results, as the positive timing impact of around 20 cents from continuing operations would likely reverse in the third quarter.

Dollar Tree reported adjusted earnings of $1.12 a share in the third quarter last year. Analysts are looking for $1.33 a share for the current fiscal third quarter, according to FactSet.

Write to Mackenzie Tatananni at mackenzie.tatananni@barrons.com

This content was created by Barron's, which is operated by Dow Jones & Co. Barron's is published independently from Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal.

 

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September 03, 2025 06:59 ET (10:59 GMT)

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