【券商聚焦】太平洋证券予现代牧业(01117)买入评级 指原奶周期即将反转 公司业绩未来可期

金吾财讯
Sep 04

金吾财讯 | 太平洋证券发研报指,现代牧业(01117)近日发布 2025年半年业绩,报告期内,公司营收60.7亿元,同比-5.4%,净亏损9.8亿元(去年同期净亏损2.1亿元),现金EBITDA14.8亿元,同比-2.5%。该机构表示,原奶周期即将反转,公司业绩未来可期:报告期内公司毛利率同比+0.3%至26.4%,生物资产公允价值损失18.2亿元,同比增亏6.7亿元,主因淘汰牛数量增加及原料奶市场售价下降影响,公司预计2025年下半年重估损失有望环比改善,主因牛群减值损失有望减少。该机构看好未来原奶、肉牛周期共振上行,推动公司卖牛收入增加,生物资产减值损失减少,利润弹性有望释放。该机构预计公司2025-2027年营业收入分别为157亿/180.8亿/210亿元,归母净利润分别为-7.12亿/3.55亿/13.36亿元,对应EPS分别为-0.09/0.04/0.17元/股,给予买入评级。

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