大行评级丨高盛:预计金隅集团2025-2027年将连续亏损 维持“中性”评级

格隆汇
Sep 04, 2025

高盛发布报告预计,金隅集团从2025年起连续三年将录得经常性经营亏损,维持“中性”评级。报告指出,金隅集团上半年净亏损15亿元,每股净亏损0.14元,较2024年同期净亏损8.1亿元有所增加。经常性净亏损为16.5亿元。 高盛认为,金隅集团业绩低于该行及市场预期,主要由于房地产开发利润低于预期。该行对金隅集团2025年至2027年每股经常性盈利预测,由盈利0.01至0.02元,转为亏损0.142至亏损0.19元,反映建筑材料利润降低,部分被水泥单位毛利上升抵消。高盛预计短期内内地水泥利润率持续低迷,2026年行业对未经授权产能的控制执行力度可见度将提高,预计金隅集团将受益。该行还预计建筑材料利润将因需求疲软持续低迷,房地产开发业务利润趋势将在2026年和后年稳定,较2025年改善,受低基数影响。

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