中信里昂:中资股估值现已不算便宜 向上重估的故事已经结束

智通财经
Sep 08

智通财经APP获悉,内地和香港股市今年表现理想,但中信里昂首席股票策略师Alexander Redman表示,因内地生产者物价指数(PPI)已连续34个月收缩,故中资企业难以推动收入增长,目前每股盈利上升均受惠于利润率改善及回购股份,在缺乏收入改善下,企业盈利难以持续向上,故对中资企业盈利增长的乐观预期抱持怀疑态度,未有将整体中资股调升至超配,只会选择性地持有个别中资股。

Redman指,本轮中资股升浪大致是由流动性所推动,而且经历过去年的估值向上重估后,中资股现值已不算便宜,估值向上重估的故事已经结束,无论是从现水平及预测水平看,中资股的每股盈利增长都不足以解释目前的股价表现。

市场期望反内卷政策可改善企业营运环境,他认为,内房投资在2021年见顶后,当局推动制造业固定资产投资,但目前汽车、电子、电动机械等行业的产能利用率均下跌,影响制造业利润,难以完全透过出口解决产能过剩问题。

中信里昂看好比亚迪 (01211) 、宁德时代 (03750) 、石药集团 (01093) 、农夫山泉 (09633) 、腾讯 (00700) 和小米 (01810) 。

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