美东时间9月4日美联储“三把手”威廉姆斯表示：到目前为止关税似乎并未推动长期通胀上升；未看到关税的二次效应影响通胀；关税可能导致今年通胀上升1.00%至1.50%预计2025年通胀率为3%至3.25%；预计通胀将在2027年回到美联储2%的目标。关税对价格和购买模式产生了明显影响劳动力市场正在放缓至疫情前的趋势。预计失业率明年将上升至约4.5%。美联储现在必须平衡通胀和就业市场风险。货币政策适度紧缩适合当前经济。如果经济符合我的预测预计利率将逐步下调。降息至中性水平“将变得适宜”。
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