大行评级|高盛:下调新鸿基地产目标价至96港元 可受惠地产周期转势

格隆汇
Sep 05

高盛发表研究报告指,新鸿基地产今年6月底止下半财年每股基础盈利3.93港元,按半年增长9%,按年则降11%,并较高盛预期低7%。收入比高盛预期低出24%,主要因物业发展(DP)入账及其他非物业业务低于预期。物业发展收入较该行预测低出39%,因香港及内地市场入账低于预期。 考虑新地下半财年业绩、管理层指引及最新入账计划后,高盛将新地2026至2028财年每股基础盈利预测,分别下调14%、12%及2%,股息预测下调4%、下调3%及上调3%。该行预计未来三年平均派息比率约49%,相较过去五年平均约52%,管理层重申股息派发比率上限为50%。高盛将12个月目标价下调8%,从104港元下调至96港元,维持“买入”评级,因认为新地将持续受益于香港物业市场周期逐步转势等。

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