港股异动 | 有色金属股午后涨幅扩大 大宗商品抗通胀属性凸显 机构称资源股将迎戴维斯双击

智通财经
Sep 05

智通财经APP获悉,有色金属股午后涨幅扩大,截至发稿,天齐锂业(09696)涨8.34%,报42.6港元;赣锋锂业(01772)涨7.34%,报33.36港元;紫金矿业(02899)涨5.62%,报28.18港元;中国铝业(02600)涨5.05%,报6.87港元;中国宏桥(01378)涨4.13%,报24.72港元。

兴业证券指出,美联储降息预期升温,将显著提振商品的需求;美元贬值预期下,大宗商品"抗通胀"属性凸显。截至2025年中报,A股贵金属及工业金属板块正处于“高盈利,低估值”阶段。考虑到海外由高通胀转温和通胀,且降息后,美国长期温和通胀或通胀抬头概率较高;国内资本市场交易活跃度上行及“高切低”轮动效应下,增量资金有望带动板块估值提升。估值较为扎实的资源股有望迎来“戴维斯双击”时刻。

此外,中国电力革命及全球算力革命,均将持续推动金属原料需求的持续高增;以及,各国对关键矿产资源的保护及追逐愈加明显,核心资源头部化特征明显。预计关键矿产资源价值重估,将逐渐抵消商品周期属性带来的估值负面压制。该行认为,资源品的估值体系将在未来得到不断地丰富及优化。

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