智通财经APP获悉，东兴证券发布研报称，维持中通快递-W(02057)“强烈推荐”评级，预计公司2025-2027年归母净利润分别为88.5、102.2与115.3亿，对应PE分别为13.0X、11.2X和10.0X。公司作为通达系龙头的地位稳固，能够在价格战中维持相对稳定的盈利水平，具备较强的安全边际。
公司发布2025中报，二季度单季公司完成业务量98.47亿件，同比增长16.5%，市场份额19.5%。公司Q2调整后净利润20.53亿元。该行预计下半年行业及公司盈利情况将有好转。随着反内卷环境的形成，公司调整业务量指引，并将战略重心转向质量优先，预计下半年的增量激励会有所下调，激励的流向也会更加合理，虽然业务量增速中枢预计会有所下降，但单票盈利水平会相应回升。
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