美联储降息押注急速加码,初请数据力证就业市场疲软

Blockbeats
Sep 11, 2025

BlockBeats 消息,9 月 11 日,本周四美国政府报告显示初请失业金人数跃升至近四年高位,短期利率期货市场持续加码美联储降息押注,从预计今年底至少降息两次、到押注 9 月起到明年 1 月连续降息四次,到完全定价年内降息三次,即美联储将在今年余下的会议上都进行降息。

不过,8 月 CPI 升幅强于预期,可能阻止美联储开始大幅降息,美联储 9 月降息 50 个基点的概率从公布前的 8% 小幅升至 10.9%。(金十)

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