大行评级|交银国际:上调顺丰同城目标价至15.4港元 上调2025至27年收入及利润预测

格隆汇
Sep 10, 2025

交银国际发表研究报告指,顺丰同城上半年收入增长速度显著胜于预期,加上第三季的实时配送业务需求按季提速,多元布局下盈利持续释放。该行上调公司2025至27年的收入预测14%、12%及12%,至220亿至304亿元,按年分别增长40%、20%及15%;受公司单量密度提升、优质的骑手管理能力及AI加持下,营运费率持续改善,上调利润预测26%、23%和27%,至3.4亿至7.6亿元,Non-IFRS净利润率分别为1.5%、2%及2.6%。 该行认为,顺丰同城仍然是外卖补贴战的受益方之一,在未来补贴回归理性,业务空间仍大,考虑到长期其与顺丰的业务协同持续加深,无人车配送规模化落地持续降低成本,维持公司“买入”评级,又将估值滚动至明年,对应0.5倍市销率,上调目标价至15.4港元。

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