花旗集团表示,即便被视为通货再膨胀力推者的高市早苗成为下一任首相,日本央行的货币政策正常化也不会受阻。
由于美联储预计将于本月重启降息周期,“美日利差的缩小可能会随着时间的推移对美元兑日元造成下行压力”,Osamu Takashima等分析师在报告中表示。
预计该货币对在今年夏季达到150左右的峰值后,将在第四季度降至140左右。
尽管如此,在风险偏好环境下,日元的下行压力正在加大,因为美联储降息可能会提振美国股市。
美元兑日元的下行空间目前可能限制在145左右,而148仍将是关键阻力位。
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