摩根大通警告:美联储如期降息可能触发“利好出尽”的抛售行情

Blockbeats
Sep 09

BlockBeats 消息,9 月 9 日,美股今年已创 20 余次历史新高,但摩根大通发出警告称:若美联储下周如期降息,可能触发“利好出尽”的抛售行情。摩根大通市场情报主管安德鲁·泰勒(Andrew Tyler)表示:“当前牛市似乎势不可挡,在原有支柱弱化之际又形成新的支撑。但如果美联储在 9 月 17 日会议上执行市场广泛预期的降息,随着投资者撤退,这可能演变成‘利好出尽’事件。”

标普 500 指数已从 4 月低点上涨超 30%,当时特朗普刚刚打响全球贸易战第一枪。股市迄今展现出韧性。但随着关税影响开始显现、近期就业数据疲软,在美股历来表现最差的 9 月迎来预期降息之际,投资者正如履薄冰。泰勒对即将召开的议息会议的担忧在于:虽然将于周四公布消费者价格指数(CPI)不太可能阻止美联储降息,但上市公司和私营企业关于通胀的评论显示,更多“关税引发的成本传导”即将出现,其速度和规模尚不可知。此外,降息可能刺激劳动力需求,进而引发通常具有“粘性”的工资通胀。(金十)

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