观点:比特币1年多来月度低点常在前10天形成,本月或已完成触底

Blockbeats
Sep 12

BlockBeats 消息,9 月 12 日,CoinDesk 数据与代币副主编 Oliver Knight 表示,比特币或已在 9 月 1 日触底,当时低点约为 107,000 美元。据统计,自 2024 年 7 月起,比特币常在每月前 10 天内形成当月低点,2025 年 2 月、6 月和 8 月虽为例外,低点出现较晚,但前 10 天市场也经历了回调,之后才恢复趋势。推测其或与机构投资组合再平衡、关键宏观经济事件集中在月初有关。

Oliver Knight 称,多个期货和期权市场在每月末或次月初到期,可能引发短期波动,使交易活动低迷,因交易者会选择展期或重新布局。虽历史表现不能确保未来,但第四季度历来是比特币表现最强时期,平均回报率达 85%,10 月尤为突出,自 2013 年以来仅两个月下跌。

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