国泰海通:维持协鑫科技(03800)“增持”评级 看好公司25H2业绩将显著回暖

智通财经
Sep 12

智通财经APP获悉,国泰海通发布研报称,预计协鑫科技(03800)26-27年的归母净利润分别为3.06/13.70亿元,EPS分别为0.01/0.05元/股,BPS分别为1.24/1.29元/股。参考可比公司,给予公司2025年1.2xPB,维持“增持”评级。下半年价格走势较好,该行看好公司25H2业绩将显著回暖。

报告指,25Q1/Q2公司颗粒硅的现金成本(含研发)分别为27.07/25.31元/kg,呈现持续下降的趋势。凭借着持续不断的工艺优化、技术提升以及材料迭代,公司颗粒硅产品的质量稳中有升,基于颗粒硅产品纯度的优异性和稳定性,客户对本公司颗粒硅的粘附力不断增强。据Infolink统计,2025年7月,颗粒硅的成交价格首次超过传统N型致密块料。

根据硅业分会,6月25日,N型颗粒硅的均价为3.35万元/吨,9月3日的均价为4.8万元/吨,上涨幅度达到43%。8月19日,六部门联合召开光伏产业座谈会,进一步规范光伏产业竞争秩序,打击低于成本价销售、虚假营销等违法违规行为。该行认为反内卷的推进将支撑硅料价格稳中向上,多部门参会说明政策的重视程度较高,价格上涨将带来公司业绩的显著回升。

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