黄金行情走势分析:
9月11日,周二黄金冲高大跌后,昨日再度收阳,尽管多头动能不及前期强势,但成功终结跌势,印证了“多头趋势中,空头调整多为一日游或日内修正”的规律,空头能否形成延续,才是行情真正走弱的核心标志,而当前空头未展现持续性,进一步夯实中期看涨基础。
目前黄金仍处于多头趋势中,仅短线强势度有所减弱,预计接下来将以“高位扫荡”为主。今日操作需紧扣3650区域这一关键多空分界:若金价运行于3650下方,短期倾向空头偏强,大概率延续调整走势,需进一步关注昨日低点3620区域的支撑有效性,若该位置失守,或向3600乃至3580美元大关推进;但需明确,3580美元是当前多头趋势的核心底线,在该位置未破前,中期看涨逻辑不变,且随着美联储利率决议临近,降息确认前下破3580的概率极低。若多头突破3650区域压制,昨日高点3658大概率难以阻挡上行步伐,行情或直奔新高,新高后可重点关注3685-3690、3705-3710区域阻力,这些位置存在潜在回落机会,可伺机短线博弈回调。
操作策略上,短线以3650为界制定计划:价格在3650下方承压时,可轻仓试空,目标看3620-3600区域,止损放在3650上方;若回调至3600或3580区域(尤其3580附近),出现企稳信号(如阳包阴、MACD金叉),需果断布局多单,依托趋势底线把握低吸机会;若突破3650并站稳,可顺势跟多看新高,待触及3685-3690或3705-3710阻力时,再考虑短线空单,严格控制仓位与止损,贴合高位扫荡节奏。
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