智通财经APP获悉，中银国际发布研报称，钢厂盈利持续受压，料将导致焦煤价格在短期内进一步走弱，但基于7月份强劲升幅，将2025至2027年基准焦煤价格预测上调7%至13%。中银国际认为内地煤炭板块当前估值水平缺乏吸引力，维持行业“中性”评级。
该行将中煤能源(01898)的评级降至“沽售”，因公司今年可能录得负数自由现金流，管理层似乎无意提高派息比例，2025至2027年预测股息回报率仅达3.7%至3.9%，目标价从7.39港元降至7.21港元，并因应对煤价最新预期，将该公司2025至2027年盈利预测下调10%至16%。
虽然目前市场预期国内港口煤炭库存水平相对偏低，可为冬季现货动力煤价格带来支持，但考虑到第二季价格水平逊预期，仍将今年全年现货煤价预测下调4%。该行又指，中国神华(01088)中期业绩展示出盈利具韧性，在上半年煤价下跌期间，其煤炭业务单位利润降幅为最小，维持“持有”评级，目标价由32.18港元上调至39.48港元。
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