【券商聚焦】国泰海通:金秋九月 关注种、养殖业

金吾财讯
Sep 16

金吾财讯 | 国泰海通发研报指,生猪:关注短期猪价演绎和长期产能政策变化。上周猪价13.56元/kg,环比上上周下降0.37元/kg,如果看各省降幅,两广降幅最为明显,一周价格下降接近1元/kg,对全国均价拖累最为明显。我们认为两广价格下降来自于调运政策变化,外调受限,省内价格受冲击。此外从养殖疫情来看,涌益咨询的数据显示,90kg以下出栏比例小幅增长至3.71%。疫情和政策在边际上对短期价格有影响,接下来观察调运政策的扩展以及疫情在南方地区的影响范围。种植:秋收在即,关注“秋讯”。进入9月,大多数农产品进入成熟收获时间。大田作物板块,建议关注今年粮食收成情况(本周玉米和小麦现货价格均略有抬升),以及黄淮海极端高温和极端降水情况下玉米种子田间表现,特别是耐高温耐密等能力较强的玉米品种的崛起。

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