【券商聚焦】中信证券指银行板块单季度盈利改善幅度明显 料全年盈利增速仍有上行空间

金吾财讯
12 hours ago

金吾财讯 | 中信证券表示,金融数据显示,三季度银行资产投放主要由政府债券支撑,社融总量保持稳定。信贷需求仍需提振,居民与企业贷款需求均不旺,有待消费及地产新政显效。三季度银行负债端结构变化显著,居民和企业存款下降,非银存款大幅增长,反映投资渠道多元化趋势,加大银行的负债管理难度。利率方面,8月份新发放的企业贷款利率较二季度下降约10个基点,个人住房贷款利率则基本平稳,预计资产收益率仍有小幅下行空间,但存款成本节约有助息差预期稳定。银行中报盈利企稳修复,修复幅度略超预期。具体而言,息差预期走稳,投资收益贡献收入,资产质量形势稳定,单季度盈利改善幅度明显,预计全年盈利增速仍有上行空间。市场层面看,稳定的基本面格局夯实投资者配置板块信心,看好后续绝对收益行情继续演绎。个股选择方面,由于银行板块贝塔表现底部恢复,个股转向阿尔法策略更具空间,建议关注细分子行业中ROE高且稳定性强、估值空间乐观的银行。

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