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　　9月16日收盘，主力合约涨多跌少。其中，焦煤涨超5%，焦炭涨超4%，玻璃、纯碱均涨超3%；下跌方面，液化石油气（LPG）跌超1%。

　　国泰君安期货的分析师认为，近期“反内卷”预期升温，市场情绪高涨，昨晚主力合约价格增仓上行。从基本面来看，目前煤焦市场呈现“供需双增、价格偏强”的格局，供应端此前因重大活动停产的煤矿已经基本复产，进口煤供应旺盛，蒙煤通关积极，日均通关量超过1200车；下游按需采购为主，铁水产量维持高位，对煤焦的刚性需求仍有支撑。此外近期下游预计将启动节前补库，对炼焦煤价格形成一定支撑。

　　盘面上看，焦煤价格目前仍以震荡反复为主，可关注日线级别此前高低点位置附近的压力支撑作用，后市可关注供应端扰动及政策预期。短期内注意价格高波动风险，谨慎操作。

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