大行评级|高盛:内地航空业暑假表现逊预期 上调三大航空股目标价

格隆汇
Sep 15

高盛研究报告指,内地航空业次季强劲反弹,但该行认为暑假表现未如理想,国内航空需求仍然疲弱,因商务旅行仍未复苏;而国际机票价格大幅下跌就主要因中日航线运力过剩,航空公司高估日本世博会期间的需求。展望未来,考虑到航空公司已进一步减慢增购机队,且预测2025至27年净需求增长率为3%、1%及1%,该行认为国际机票价格的按年跌幅将显著收窄,国内机票价格亦有机会自9月起改善。另一方面,油价下跌亦将对航空公司的盈利有正面影响。 股份方面,该行看好中国国航,因其在盈利较高的航线中占比较高,若票价上升将成为最大受惠者;国航H股目标价由6.5港元上调至7.3港元,国航A股目标价由8.6元上调至9.6元,评级“买入”。该行将中国东方航空股份H股目标价由3.3港元上调至3.7港元,东航A股目标价由4.6元上调至5.1元,均予“买入”评级;中国南方航空股份H股目标价由4.1港元上调至4.6港元,评级“买入”,南航A股目标价由5.5元上调至6.2元,评级“中性”。

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