【汇丰:美元或短期上涨 但涨幅难持久】金色财经报道,市场普遍预期美联储将在周三宣布降息。汇丰银行Paul Mackel表示,除非美联储释放“未来可能更多次降息”的信号,否则降息声明公布后美元或短暂上涨。他指出,要进一步推升本已较高的降息预期,美联储需满足极高的条件。伦敦证券交易所集团数据显示,目前市场预期到2026年底,美联储累计降息幅度约为140个基点。基于这一背景,周三声明公布后,美元或存在短期冲高的可能。但Mackel认为,考虑到未来更快降息的前景,尤其是若就业数据持续疲软,美元的任何涨幅都可能是暂时的。
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